SteamWatchTurkey vs Italy: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Turkey vs Italy (UEFA Nations League, 28 Sep 2026) was on Italy in the 1X2 market: drifted from 2.12 at open to 2.42 at the close, a -5.8 percentage-point change in implied probability, with the largest single step at 07:34 UTC on 22 Sep 2026.
The totals line moved from 2.5 at open to 2.75 at the close, so open and current prices are not directly comparable.
Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Turkey | 3.10 | 2.98 | +1.3pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 3.45 | 3.52 | -0.6pp |
| 1X2 | Italy | 2.12 | 2.42 | -5.8pp |
| Totals | Over 2.75 | — | 1.93 | — |
| Totals | Under 2.75 | — | 1.96 | — |
| Asian handicap | Turkey +0.25 | 1.78 | 1.83 | -1.5pp |
| Asian handicap | Italy -0.25 | 2.07 | 2.10 | -0.7pp |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.