SteamWatchDrifters | SteamWatch
A drifter is a selection whose odds lengthened before kickoff — its implied probability fell. SteamWatch tracks every drift across major European leagues and records what happened next: win rates and profit/loss for the moves going the other way.
The all-time record (27 January 2026 to 1 September 2026)
- 797 drifters tracked through to a result. 284 won (35.6%), 200 drew, 313 lost.
- Backing every drifter blind at the drifted price returned -3.5% (-28.0 units at flat 1 unit stakes).
- For comparison, backing every steam move blind over the same period also returned -3.5% across 531 moves.
Leagues covered: Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga, Serie A, Ligue 1, Champions League, Europa League.