SteamWatchWales vs Norway: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Wales vs Norway (UEFA Nations League, 1 Oct 2026) was on Draw in the 1X2 market: drifted from 2.26 at open to 4.72 now, a -23.1 percentage-point change in implied probability, with the largest single step at 18:50 UTC on 27 Sep 2026.
The totals line moved from 2.75 at open to 3 now, so open and current prices are not directly comparable.
Pinnacle prices, open to now
| Market | Selection | Open | Now | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Wales | 3.60 | 6.11 | -11.4pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 2.26 | 4.72 | -23.1pp |
| 1X2 | Norway | 1.70 | 1.51 | +7.4pp |
| Totals | Over 3 | — | 1.90 | — |
| Totals | Under 3 | — | 1.98 | — |
| Asian handicap | Wales +1 | 1.80 | 2.10 | -7.9pp |
| Asian handicap | Norway -1 | 2.03 | 1.83 | +5.4pp |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to now, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.