SteamWatchReal Madrid vs Real Sociedad: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad (La Liga, 16 Aug 2026) was on Over 3 in the Totals market: shortened from 1.85 at open to 1.84 at the close, a +0.3 percentage-point change in implied probability.
Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Real Madrid | 1.40 | 1.40 | +0.0pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 4.88 | 4.89 | -0.0pp |
| 1X2 | Real Sociedad | 6.69 | 6.70 | -0.0pp |
| Totals | Over 3 | 1.85 | 1.84 | +0.3pp |
| Totals | Under 3 | 1.96 | 1.97 | -0.3pp |
| Asian handicap | Real Madrid -1.25 | 1.88 | 1.88 | +0.0pp |
| Asian handicap | Real Sociedad +1.25 | 1.93 | 1.93 | +0.0pp |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.