SteamWatchAston Villa vs Arsenal: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Aston Villa vs Arsenal (English Premier League, 31 Aug 2026) was on Aston Villa in the 1X2 market: drifted from 3.50 at open to 7.25 at the close, a -14.8 percentage-point change in implied probability, with the largest single step at 09:49 UTC on 22 Aug 2026.
The totals line moved from 2.5 at open to 2.75 at the close, so open and current prices are not directly comparable.
The Asian handicap line moved from +0.75 at open to +1 at the close.
Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Aston Villa | 3.50 | 7.25 | -14.8pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 3.60 | 4.65 | -6.3pp |
| 1X2 | Arsenal | 1.70 | 1.48 | +8.7pp |
| Totals | Over 2.75 | — | 1.99 | — |
| Totals | Under 2.75 | — | 1.91 | — |
| Asian handicap | Aston Villa +1 | — | 2.14 | — |
| Asian handicap | Arsenal -1 | — | 1.81 | — |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.