Burnley vs Derby County: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Burnley vs Derby County (EFL Championship, 19 Sep 2026) was on Derby County +0.5 in the Asian handicap market: drifted from 1.93 at open to 2.07 at the close, a -3.5 percentage-point change in implied probability.
Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Burnley | 1.88 | 1.84 | +1.2pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 3.60 | 3.80 | -1.5pp |
| 1X2 | Derby County | 3.96 | 4.36 | -2.3pp |
| Totals | Over 2.5 | 1.86 | 1.85 | +0.3pp |
| Totals | Under 2.5 | 1.94 | 2.05 | -2.8pp |
| Asian handicap | Burnley -0.5 | 1.88 | 1.85 | +0.9pp |
| Asian handicap | Derby County +0.5 | 1.93 | 2.07 | -3.5pp |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.