SteamWatchReal Madrid vs Villarreal: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Real Madrid vs Villarreal (La Liga, 10 Oct 2026) was on Real Madrid in the 1X2 market: drifted from 1.24 at open to 1.32 now, a -4.9 percentage-point change in implied probability, with the largest single step at 07:52 UTC on 21 Sep 2026.
The Asian handicap line moved from -1.75 at open to -1.5 now.
Pinnacle prices, open to now
| Market | Selection | Open | Now | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Real Madrid | 1.24 | 1.32 | -4.9pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 6.66 | 6.04 | +1.5pp |
| 1X2 | Villarreal | 8.60 | 7.61 | +1.5pp |
| Totals | Over 3.75 | 1.85 | 1.94 | -2.5pp |
| Totals | Under 3.75 | 1.93 | 1.89 | +1.1pp |
| Asian handicap | Real Madrid -1.5 | — | 1.83 | — |
| Asian handicap | Villarreal +1.5 | — | 2.03 | — |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to now, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.