SteamWatchSpain vs Croatia: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Spain vs Croatia (UEFA Nations League, 29 Sep 2026) was on Draw in the 1X2 market: drifted from 5.30 at open to 7.50 at the close, a -5.5 percentage-point change in implied probability, with the largest single step at 06:25 UTC on 26 Sep 2026.
The totals line moved from 2.75 at open to 3.25 at the close, so open and current prices are not directly comparable.
The Asian handicap line moved from -1.5 at open to -2 at the close.
Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Spain | 1.28 | 1.23 | +3.2pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 5.30 | 7.50 | -5.5pp |
| 1X2 | Croatia | 8.60 | 12.00 | -3.3pp |
| Totals | Over 3.25 | — | 1.88 | — |
| Totals | Under 3.25 | — | 2.00 | — |
| Asian handicap | Spain -2 | — | 2.16 | — |
| Asian handicap | Croatia +2 | — | 1.78 | — |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.