SteamWatchAtlético Madrid vs Real Madrid: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Atlético Madrid vs Real Madrid (La Liga, 20 Sep 2026) was on Real Madrid in the 1X2 market: drifted from 1.89 at open to 2.02 at the close, a -3.4 percentage-point change in implied probability, with the largest single step at 18:12 UTC on 14 Sep 2026.
The totals line moved from 3.25 at open to 3 at the close, so open and current prices are not directly comparable.
Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Atlético Madrid | 3.86 | 3.65 | +1.5pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 3.62 | 3.85 | -1.7pp |
| 1X2 | Real Madrid | 1.89 | 2.02 | -3.4pp |
| Totals | Over 3 | — | 1.87 | — |
| Totals | Under 3 | — | 2.05 | — |
| Asian handicap | Atlético Madrid +0.5 | 1.92 | 1.90 | +0.5pp |
| Asian handicap | Real Madrid -0.5 | 1.90 | 2.03 | -3.4pp |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.