SteamWatchBirmingham City vs Southampton: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Birmingham City vs Southampton (EFL Championship, 1 Sep 2026) was on Birmingham City +0 in the Asian handicap market: drifted from 1.81 at open to 2.04 at the close, a -6.2 percentage-point change in implied probability.
The totals line moved from 2.5 at open to 2.75 at the close, so open and current prices are not directly comparable.
Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Birmingham City | 2.51 | 2.77 | -3.7pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 3.31 | 3.58 | -2.3pp |
| 1X2 | Southampton | 2.78 | 2.54 | +3.4pp |
| Totals | Over 2.75 | — | 1.99 | — |
| Totals | Under 2.75 | — | 1.89 | — |
| Asian handicap | Birmingham City +0 | 1.81 | 2.04 | -6.2pp |
| Asian handicap | Southampton -0 | 2.01 | 1.87 | +3.7pp |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.