SteamWatchReal Madrid vs Málaga: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Real Madrid vs Málaga (La Liga, 30 Aug 2026) was on Málaga in the 1X2 market: drifted from 10.64 at open to 26.00 at the close, a -5.6 percentage-point change in implied probability, with the largest single step at 06:14 UTC on 24 Aug 2026.
The totals line moved from 3.25 at open to 4 at the close, so open and current prices are not directly comparable.
The Asian handicap line moved from -2 at open to -2.75 at the close.
Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Real Madrid | 1.18 | 1.11 | +5.3pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 7.75 | 11.50 | -4.2pp |
| 1X2 | Málaga | 10.64 | 26.00 | -5.6pp |
| Totals | Over 4 | — | 1.86 | — |
| Totals | Under 4 | — | 2.03 | — |
| Asian handicap | Real Madrid -2.75 | — | 1.98 | — |
| Asian handicap | Málaga +2.75 | — | 1.93 | — |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.