SteamWatchHamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Hamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05 (Bundesliga, 6 Sep 2026) was on Hamburger SV in the 1X2 market: drifted from 2.62 at open to 2.95 at the close, a -4.3 percentage-point change in implied probability, with the largest single step at 18:11 UTC on 29 Aug 2026.
The Asian handicap line moved from +0.25 at open to +0 at the close.
Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hamburger SV | 2.62 | 2.95 | -4.3pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 3.40 | 3.49 | -0.8pp |
| 1X2 | FSV Mainz 05 | 2.62 | 2.48 | +2.2pp |
| Totals | Over 2.75 | 1.85 | 2.00 | -4.1pp |
| Totals | Under 2.75 | 1.96 | 1.91 | +1.3pp |
| Asian handicap | Hamburger SV +0 | — | 2.15 | — |
| Asian handicap | FSV Mainz 05 -0 | — | 1.81 | — |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.