SteamWatchItaly vs Belgium: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Italy vs Belgium (UEFA Nations League, 25 Sep 2026) was on Under 2.75 in the Totals market: drifted from 1.82 at open to 2.03 at the close, a -5.7 percentage-point change in implied probability.
Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Italy | 2.14 | 2.16 | -0.4pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 3.64 | 3.61 | +0.2pp |
| 1X2 | Belgium | 3.24 | 3.41 | -1.5pp |
| Totals | Over 2.75 | 2.02 | 1.86 | +4.3pp |
| Totals | Under 2.75 | 1.82 | 2.03 | -5.7pp |
| Asian handicap | Italy -0.25 | 1.87 | 1.88 | -0.3pp |
| Asian handicap | Belgium +0.25 | 1.99 | 2.03 | -1.0pp |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.