SteamWatchReal Madrid vs Real Sociedad: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad (La Liga, 26 Aug 2026) was on Real Madrid in the 1X2 market: shortened from 1.40 at open to 1.19 at the close, a +12.6 percentage-point change in implied probability, with the largest single step at 18:24 UTC on 26 Aug 2026.
The totals line moved from 3 at open to 3.5 at the close, so open and current prices are not directly comparable.
The Asian handicap line moved from -1.25 at open to -2.25 at the close.
Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Real Madrid | 1.40 | 1.19 | +12.6pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 4.89 | 8.25 | -8.3pp |
| 1X2 | Real Sociedad | 6.70 | 15.00 | -8.3pp |
| Totals | Over 3.5 | — | 1.83 | — |
| Totals | Under 3.5 | — | 2.08 | — |
| Asian handicap | Real Madrid -2.25 | — | 2.13 | — |
| Asian handicap | Real Sociedad +2.25 | — | 1.80 | — |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.