SteamWatchDerby County vs Swansea City: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Derby County vs Swansea City (EFL Championship, 29 Aug 2026) was on Derby County -0.25 in the Asian handicap market: drifted from 1.95 at open to 2.10 at the close, a -3.7 percentage-point change in implied probability.
The totals line moved from 2.5 at open to 2.25 at the close, so open and current prices are not directly comparable.
Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Derby County | 2.24 | 2.44 | -3.7pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 3.47 | 3.36 | +0.9pp |
| 1X2 | Swansea City | 3.07 | 3.07 | +0.0pp |
| Totals | Over 2.25 | — | 1.89 | — |
| Totals | Under 2.25 | — | 2.00 | — |
| Asian handicap | Derby County -0.25 | 1.95 | 2.10 | -3.7pp |
| Asian handicap | Swansea City +0.25 | 1.87 | 1.83 | +1.2pp |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.