SteamWatchLazio vs AC Milan: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Lazio vs AC Milan (Serie A, 12 Sep 2026) was on Under 2.25 in the Totals market: drifted from 1.84 at open to 1.93 at the close, a -2.5 percentage-point change in implied probability.
The Asian handicap line moved from +0.25 at open to +0.5 at the close.
Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lazio | 3.74 | 4.00 | -1.7pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 3.25 | 3.20 | +0.5pp |
| 1X2 | AC Milan | 2.10 | 2.15 | -1.1pp |
| Totals | Over 2.25 | 2.00 | 1.97 | +0.8pp |
| Totals | Under 2.25 | 1.84 | 1.93 | -2.5pp |
| Asian handicap | Lazio +0.5 | — | 1.80 | — |
| Asian handicap | AC Milan -0.5 | — | 2.16 | — |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.