SteamWatchDerby County vs Cardiff City: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Derby County vs Cardiff City (EFL Championship, 22 Aug 2026) was on Under 2.5 in the Totals market: drifted from 1.83 at open to 2.04 at the close, a -5.6 percentage-point change in implied probability.
The Asian handicap line moved from -0.5 at open to -0.25 at the close.
Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Derby County | 2.10 | 2.22 | -2.6pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 3.35 | 3.44 | -0.8pp |
| 1X2 | Cardiff City | 3.90 | 3.42 | +3.6pp |
| Totals | Over 2.5 | 1.98 | 1.85 | +3.5pp |
| Totals | Under 2.5 | 1.83 | 2.04 | -5.6pp |
| Asian handicap | Derby County -0.25 | — | 1.92 | — |
| Asian handicap | Cardiff City +0.25 | — | 1.99 | — |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.