SteamWatchAston Villa vs Nottingham Forest: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest (English Premier League, 12 Sep 2026) was on Aston Villa in the 1X2 market: drifted from 1.92 at open to 2.29 at the close, a -8.4 percentage-point change in implied probability, with the largest single step at 10:43 UTC on 6 Sep 2026.
The Asian handicap line moved from -0.5 at open to -0.25 at the close.
Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Aston Villa | 1.92 | 2.29 | -8.4pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 3.60 | 3.47 | +1.0pp |
| 1X2 | Nottingham Forest | 4.00 | 3.31 | +5.2pp |
| Totals | Over 2.5 | 1.88 | 1.91 | -0.8pp |
| Totals | Under 2.5 | 1.92 | 2.00 | -2.1pp |
| Asian handicap | Aston Villa -0.25 | — | 1.98 | — |
| Asian handicap | Nottingham Forest +0.25 | — | 1.94 | — |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.