SteamWatchNewcastle United vs Aston Villa: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Newcastle United vs Aston Villa (English Premier League, 17 Oct 2026) was on Aston Villa +0.25 in the Asian handicap market: drifted from 1.87 at open to 2.02 now, a -4.0 percentage-point change in implied probability.
Pinnacle prices, open to now
| Market | Selection | Open | Now | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Newcastle United | 2.22 | 2.08 | +3.0pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 3.69 | 3.85 | -1.1pp |
| 1X2 | Aston Villa | 2.95 | 3.21 | -2.7pp |
| Totals | Over 3 | 2.02 | 1.93 | +2.3pp |
| Totals | Under 3 | 1.79 | 1.91 | -3.5pp |
| Asian handicap | Newcastle United -0.25 | 1.95 | 1.84 | +3.1pp |
| Asian handicap | Aston Villa +0.25 | 1.87 | 2.02 | -4.0pp |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to now, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.