SteamWatchFrance vs Italy: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for France vs Italy (UEFA Nations League, 2 Oct 2026) was on Italy +1.25 in the Asian handicap market: drifted from 1.86 at open to 1.98 now, a -3.3 percentage-point change in implied probability.
The totals line moved from 3 at open to 3.25 now, so open and current prices are not directly comparable.
Pinnacle prices, open to now
| Market | Selection | Open | Now | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | France | 1.47 | 1.44 | +1.4pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 4.76 | 5.21 | -1.8pp |
| 1X2 | Italy | 6.56 | 6.62 | -0.1pp |
| Totals | Over 3.25 | — | 1.97 | — |
| Totals | Under 3.25 | — | 1.92 | — |
| Asian handicap | France -1.25 | 2.03 | 1.93 | +2.6pp |
| Asian handicap | Italy +1.25 | 1.86 | 1.98 | -3.3pp |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to now, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.