SteamWatchReal Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano (La Liga, 12 Sep 2026) was on Rayo Vallecano in the 1X2 market: drifted from 10.64 at open to 19.50 at the close, a -4.3 percentage-point change in implied probability, with the largest single step at 13:59 UTC on 31 Aug 2026.
The totals line moved from 3.25 at open to 3.75 at the close, so open and current prices are not directly comparable.
The Asian handicap line moved from -2 at open to -2.5 at the close.
Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Real Madrid | 1.20 | 1.15 | +3.6pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 6.83 | 9.00 | -3.5pp |
| 1X2 | Rayo Vallecano | 10.64 | 19.50 | -4.3pp |
| Totals | Over 3.75 | — | 1.88 | — |
| Totals | Under 3.75 | — | 2.00 | — |
| Asian handicap | Real Madrid -2.5 | — | 2.12 | — |
| Asian handicap | Rayo Vallecano +2.5 | — | 1.81 | — |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.