SteamWatchAuxerre vs Paris FC: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Auxerre vs Paris FC (Ligue 1, 7 Nov 2026) was on Paris FC in the 1X2 market: shortened from 1.86 at open to 1.62 at the close, a +8.0 percentage-point change in implied probability, with the largest single step at 06:12 UTC on 7 Nov 2026.
The Asian handicap line moved from +0.5 at open to +1 at the close.
Result
Full time: Auxerre 0-1 Paris FC. Paris FC closed as the 1.62 favourite with Pinnacle and won. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was Paris FC, which shortened from 1.86 to 1.62 and won.
Steam alerts
SteamWatch sent a steam alert on Paris FC at 1.67, 98 minutes before kickoff, after a 4.6 percentage-point rise in implied probability. Paris FC won.
Paris FC have scored 3.0 goals more than their expected goals over the last 12 months (32 league matches). See Goals Coming Soon.
Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Auxerre | 3.88 | 5.61 | -7.9pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 3.70 | 4.30 | -3.8pp |
| 1X2 | Paris FC | 1.86 | 1.62 | +8.0pp |
| Totals | Over 2.75 | 1.91 | 1.89 | +0.6pp |
| Totals | Under 2.75 | 1.89 | 2.01 | -3.2pp |
| Asian handicap | Auxerre +1 | — | 1.88 | — |
| Asian handicap | Paris FC -1 | — | 2.05 | — |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | Auxerre | Draw | Paris FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 3.88 | 3.70 | 1.86 |
| 48 hours before | 4.33 | 4.11 | 1.79 |
| 24 hours before | 4.31 | 4.05 | 1.81 |
| 6 hours before | 4.83 | 4.13 | 1.73 |
| 1 hour before | 5.20 | 4.14 | 1.68 |
| Close | 5.61 | 4.30 | 1.62 |
In the final two hours before kickoff Paris FC shortened from 1.71 to 1.62, a +3.2 percentage-point change in implied probability.
Other Ligue 1 matches this round
- Toulouse vs Strasbourg
- Paris Saint Germain vs Troyes
- Rennes vs Lille
- Le Havre vs Lorient
- Angers vs Nice
- Le Mans FC vs AS Monaco
- Brest vs Lyon
- RC Lens vs Marseille