SteamWatchReal Madrid vs Celta Vigo: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo (La Liga, 21 Nov 2026) was on Celta Vigo +2 in the Asian handicap market: drifted from 1.85 at open to 1.94 now, a -2.5 percentage-point change in implied probability.
Real Madrid have scored 7.3 goals more than their expected goals over the last 12 months (38 league matches). Celta Vigo have scored 3.4 goals more than their expected goals over the last 12 months (38 league matches). See Goals Coming Soon.
Pinnacle prices, open to now
| Market | Selection | Open | Now | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Real Madrid | 1.19 | 1.21 | -1.4pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 7.28 | 6.92 | +0.7pp |
| 1X2 | Celta Vigo | 10.91 | 13.81 | -1.9pp |
| Totals | Over 3.5 | 1.97 | 2.00 | -0.8pp |
| Totals | Under 3.5 | 1.82 | 1.86 | -1.2pp |
| Asian handicap | Real Madrid -2 | 1.94 | 1.93 | +0.3pp |
| Asian handicap | Celta Vigo +2 | 1.85 | 1.94 | -2.5pp |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to now, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | Real Madrid | Draw | Celta Vigo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 1.19 | 7.28 | 10.91 |
| 7 days ago | 1.20 | 7.47 | 11.34 |
| 3 days ago | 1.21 | 6.82 | 13.49 |
| 24 hours ago | 1.21 | 6.83 | 13.55 |
| 6 hours ago | 1.21 | 6.92 | 13.81 |
| Now | 1.21 | 6.92 | 13.81 |
Other La Liga matches this round
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- Alavés vs Deportivo La Coruña
- Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia
- Sevilla vs Real Betis
- Barcelona vs Villarreal
- Real Racing Club de Santander vs Real Sociedad
- CA Osasuna vs Málaga
- Getafe vs Atlético Madrid
- Levante vs Elche CF