Manchester City vs Napoli: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Manchester City vs Napoli (Champions League, 24 Nov 2026) was on Over 3.5 in the Totals market: shortened from 1.91 at open to 1.88 now, a +0.8 percentage-point change in implied probability.
Pinnacle prices, open to now
| Market | Selection | Open | Now | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Manchester City | 1.23 | 1.24 | -0.7pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 6.63 | 6.59 | +0.1pp |
| 1X2 | Napoli | 10.23 | 9.97 | +0.3pp |
| Totals | Over 3.5 | 1.91 | 1.88 | +0.8pp |
| Totals | Under 3.5 | 1.91 | 1.93 | -0.5pp |
| Asian handicap | Manchester City -2 | 2.06 | 2.08 | -0.5pp |
| Asian handicap | Napoli +2 | 1.79 | 1.78 | +0.3pp |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to now, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | Manchester City | Draw | Napoli |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 1.23 | 6.63 | 10.23 |
| 7 days ago | 1.23 | 6.63 | 10.23 |
| 3 days ago | 1.24 | 6.59 | 9.97 |
| 24 hours ago | 1.24 | 6.59 | 9.97 |
| 6 hours ago | 1.24 | 6.59 | 9.97 |
| Now | 1.24 | 6.59 | 9.97 |
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