SteamWatchReal Madrid vs Alavés: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Real Madrid vs Alavés (La Liga, 28 Nov 2026) was on Real Madrid -2.25 in the Asian handicap market: drifted from 1.92 at open to 1.96 now, a -1.1 percentage-point change in implied probability.
Real Madrid have scored 7.3 goals more than their expected goals over the last 12 months (38 league matches). See Goals Coming Soon.
Pinnacle prices, open to now
| Market | Selection | Open | Now | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Real Madrid | 1.14 | 1.15 | -0.8pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 8.70 | 8.89 | -0.2pp |
| 1X2 | Alavés | 13.77 | 14.34 | -0.3pp |
| Totals | Over 3.5 | 1.84 | 1.86 | -0.6pp |
| Totals | Under 3.5 | 1.95 | 1.96 | -0.3pp |
| Asian handicap | Real Madrid -2.25 | 1.92 | 1.96 | -1.1pp |
| Asian handicap | Alavés +2.25 | 1.88 | 1.88 | +0.0pp |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to now, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | Real Madrid | Draw | Alavés |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 1.14 | 8.70 | 13.77 |
| 3 days ago | 1.14 | 8.97 | 14.46 |
| 24 hours ago | 1.15 | 8.89 | 14.34 |
| 6 hours ago | 1.15 | 8.89 | 14.34 |
| Now | 1.15 | 8.89 | 14.34 |
Other La Liga matches this round
- Levante vs Real Racing Club de Santander
- Real Betis vs Rayo Vallecano
- Málaga vs Athletic Bilbao
- Elche CF vs Atlético Madrid
- Valencia vs CA Osasuna
- Deportivo La Coruña vs Barcelona
- Celta Vigo vs Villarreal
- Real Sociedad vs Sevilla
- Espanyol vs Getafe