SteamWatchMarseille vs Toulouse: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Marseille vs Toulouse (Ligue 1, 1 Nov 2026) was on Marseille in the 1X2 market: drifted from 1.81 at open to 1.93 at the close, a -3.4 percentage-point change in implied probability, with the largest single step at 15:30 UTC on 31 Oct 2026.
The totals line moved from 2.75 at open to 3 at the close, so open and current prices are not directly comparable.
Result
Full time: Marseille 2-0 Toulouse. Marseille closed as the 1.93 favourite with Pinnacle and won. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was Marseille, which drifted from 1.81 to 1.93 and won.
Steam alerts
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Marseille have scored 5.9 goals more than their expected goals over the last 12 months (32 league matches). See Goals Coming Soon.
Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Marseille | 1.81 | 1.93 | -3.4pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 3.87 | 3.95 | -0.5pp |
| 1X2 | Toulouse | 3.92 | 3.93 | -0.1pp |
| Totals | Over 3 | — | 1.99 | — |
| Totals | Under 3 | — | 1.91 | — |
| Asian handicap | Marseille -0.5 | 1.83 | 1.93 | -2.8pp |
| Asian handicap | Toulouse +0.5 | 2.00 | 1.99 | +0.3pp |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | Marseille | Draw | Toulouse |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 1.81 | 3.87 | 3.92 |
| 48 hours before | 1.96 | 4.07 | 3.59 |
| 24 hours before | 2.00 | 4.02 | 3.50 |
| 6 hours before | 1.94 | 4.06 | 3.78 |
| 1 hour before | 1.94 | 4.01 | 3.81 |
| Close | 1.93 | 3.95 | 3.93 |
In the final two hours before kickoff Toulouse drifted from 3.77 to 3.93, a -1.1 percentage-point change in implied probability.
Other Ligue 1 matches this round
- Nice vs Rennes
- Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain
- Lille vs RC Lens
- Troyes vs Le Mans FC
- Strasbourg vs Auxerre
- Lyon vs Angers
- Paris FC vs AS Monaco
- Lorient vs Brest