SteamWatchLuxembourg vs Estonia: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Luxembourg vs Estonia (UEFA Nations League, 13 Nov 2026) was on Estonia in the 1X2 market: shortened from 3.80 at open to 3.59 now, a +1.5 percentage-point change in implied probability, with the largest single step at 14:06 UTC on 11 Nov 2026.
Pinnacle prices, open to now
| Market | Selection | Open | Now | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Luxembourg | 2.22 | 2.21 | +0.2pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 3.20 | 3.12 | +0.8pp |
| 1X2 | Estonia | 3.80 | 3.59 | +1.5pp |
| Totals | Over 2 | 1.88 | 1.88 | +0.0pp |
| Totals | Under 2 | 1.94 | 1.95 | -0.3pp |
| Asian handicap | Luxembourg -0.25 | 1.83 | 1.88 | -1.5pp |
| Asian handicap | Estonia +0.25 | 2.02 | 1.97 | +1.3pp |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to now, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | Luxembourg | Draw | Estonia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 2.22 | 3.20 | 3.80 |
| 24 hours ago | 2.24 | 3.25 | 3.70 |
| 6 hours ago | 2.14 | 3.15 | 3.71 |
| Now | 2.21 | 3.12 | 3.59 |
Other UEFA Nations League matches this round
- Moldova vs Kazakhstan
- Netherlands vs Greece
- Serbia vs Germany
- Andorra vs Gibraltar
- Liechtenstein vs Azerbaijan
- Bulgaria vs Iceland
- Slovakia vs Faroe Islands
- Scotland vs North Macedonia
- Slovenia vs Switzerland
- Kosovo vs Israel
- Norway vs Wales
- Georgia vs Hungary