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EFL Championship · kickoff 15:01 UTC on 31 Oct 2026

Millwall vs Derby County: odds movement

The biggest pre-kickoff move for Millwall vs Derby County (EFL Championship, 31 Oct 2026) was on Derby County +0.75 in the Asian handicap market: drifted from 1.85 at open to 2.06 at the close, a -5.5 percentage-point change in implied probability.

The totals line moved from 2.5 at open to 2.75 at the close, so open and current prices are not directly comparable.

Result

Full time: Millwall 4-1 Derby County. Millwall closed as the 1.66 favourite with Pinnacle and won. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was Derby County, which drifted from 4.49 to 5.34 and did not win.

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Pinnacle prices, open to close

MarketSelectionOpenCloseImplied change
1X2Millwall1.741.66+2.8pp
1X2Draw3.744.08-2.2pp
1X2Derby County4.495.34-3.5pp
TotalsOver 2.75—2.06—
TotalsUnder 2.75—1.84—
Asian handicapMillwall -0.751.971.85+3.3pp
Asian handicapDerby County +0.751.852.06-5.5pp

682 pre-kickoff 1X2 snapshots · first 15:24 UTC on 24 Oct 2026 · last 15:00 UTC on 31 Oct 2026

Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.

1X2 price timeline

WhenMillwallDrawDerby County
Open1.743.744.49
48 hours before1.683.944.96
24 hours before1.713.914.71
6 hours before1.654.125.38
1 hour before1.644.155.45
Close1.664.085.34

No 1X2 price moved by more than 1 percentage point in the final two hours before kickoff.

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