SteamWatchNorwich City vs Watford: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Norwich City vs Watford (EFL Championship, 31 Oct 2026) was on Watford in the 1X2 market: drifted from 4.60 at open to 5.50 at the close, a -3.6 percentage-point change in implied probability, with the largest single step at 11:32 UTC on 31 Oct 2026.
The Asian handicap line moved from -0.75 at open to -1 at the close.
Result
Full time: Norwich City 3-2 Watford. Norwich City closed as the 1.61 favourite with Pinnacle and won. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was Watford, which drifted from 4.60 to 5.50 and did not win.
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Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Norwich City | 1.64 | 1.61 | +1.1pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 4.21 | 4.34 | -0.7pp |
| 1X2 | Watford | 4.60 | 5.50 | -3.6pp |
| Totals | Over 3 | 1.88 | 2.01 | -3.4pp |
| Totals | Under 3 | 1.93 | 1.88 | +1.4pp |
| Asian handicap | Norwich City -1 | — | 2.01 | — |
| Asian handicap | Watford +1 | — | 1.90 | — |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | Norwich City | Draw | Watford |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 1.64 | 4.21 | 4.60 |
| 48 hours before | 1.54 | 4.36 | 5.66 |
| 24 hours before | 1.53 | 4.36 | 5.76 |
| 6 hours before | 1.52 | 4.59 | 6.32 |
| 1 hour before | 1.47 | 4.78 | 6.79 |
| Close | 1.61 | 4.34 | 5.50 |
In the final two hours before kickoff Norwich City drifted from 1.48 to 1.61, a -5.5 percentage-point change in implied probability.
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