FSV Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for FSV Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin (Bundesliga, 28 Nov 2026) was on Over 3 in the Totals market: drifted from 1.85 at open to 1.87 now, a -0.6 percentage-point change in implied probability.
FSV Mainz 05 have scored 5.1 goals fewer than their expected goals over the last 12 months (33 league matches). Union Berlin have scored 5.2 goals fewer than their expected goals over the last 12 months (33 league matches). See Goals Coming Soon.
Pinnacle prices, open to now
| Market | Selection | Open | Now | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FSV Mainz 05 | 1.49 | 1.50 | -0.4pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 4.57 | 4.65 | -0.4pp |
| 1X2 | Union Berlin | 5.76 | 5.88 | -0.4pp |
| Totals | Over 3 | 1.85 | 1.87 | -0.6pp |
| Totals | Under 3 | 1.95 | 1.97 | -0.5pp |
| Asian handicap | FSV Mainz 05 -1 | 1.79 | 1.80 | -0.3pp |
| Asian handicap | Union Berlin +1 | 2.05 | 2.07 | -0.5pp |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to now, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | FSV Mainz 05 | Draw | Union Berlin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 1.49 | 4.57 | 5.76 |
| 3 days ago | 1.50 | 4.65 | 5.88 |
| 24 hours ago | 1.50 | 4.65 | 5.88 |
| 6 hours ago | 1.50 | 4.65 | 5.88 |
| Now | 1.50 | 4.65 | 5.88 |
Other Bundesliga matches this round
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- 1. FC Köln vs Elversberg
- Hamburger SV vs Bayern Munich
- SC Paderborn vs FC Schalke 04
- VfB Stuttgart vs Eintracht Frankfurt
- SC Freiburg vs RB Leipzig
- TSG Hoffenheim vs Augsburg
- Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen