SteamWatchHamburger SV vs Bayern Munich: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Hamburger SV vs Bayern Munich (Bundesliga, 28 Nov 2026) was on Over 4.25 in the Totals market: drifted from 1.85 at open to 1.91 now, a -1.7 percentage-point change in implied probability.
The Asian handicap line moved from +2.75 at open to +2.5 now.
Bayern Munich have scored 20.2 goals more than their expected goals over the last 12 months (33 league matches). See Goals Coming Soon.
Pinnacle prices, open to now
| Market | Selection | Open | Now | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hamburger SV | 14.23 | 14.43 | -0.1pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 10.42 | 10.60 | -0.2pp |
| 1X2 | Bayern Munich | 1.11 | 1.12 | -0.8pp |
| Totals | Over 4.25 | 1.85 | 1.91 | -1.7pp |
| Totals | Under 4.25 | 1.92 | 1.91 | +0.3pp |
| Asian handicap | Hamburger SV +2.5 | — | 1.92 | — |
| Asian handicap | Bayern Munich -2.5 | — | 1.92 | — |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to now, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | Hamburger SV | Draw | Bayern Munich |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 14.23 | 10.42 | 1.11 |
| 3 days ago | 14.97 | 10.82 | 1.11 |
| 24 hours ago | 14.43 | 10.60 | 1.12 |
| 6 hours ago | 14.43 | 10.60 | 1.12 |
| Now | 14.43 | 10.60 | 1.12 |
Other Bundesliga matches this round
- Werder Bremen vs Borussia Monchengladbach
- 1. FC Köln vs Elversberg
- SC Paderborn vs FC Schalke 04
- FSV Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin
- VfB Stuttgart vs Eintracht Frankfurt
- SC Freiburg vs RB Leipzig
- TSG Hoffenheim vs Augsburg
- Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen