SteamWatchEngland vs Croatia: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for England vs Croatia (UEFA Nations League, 12 Nov 2026) was on England -1.75 in the Asian handicap market: drifted from 1.88 at open to 2.10 now, a -5.6 percentage-point change in implied probability.
Pinnacle prices, open to now
| Market | Selection | Open | Now | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | England | 1.25 | 1.29 | -2.5pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 6.22 | 5.97 | +0.7pp |
| 1X2 | Croatia | 12.49 | 10.12 | +1.9pp |
| Totals | Over 3.25 | 2.01 | 2.01 | +0.0pp |
| Totals | Under 3.25 | 1.87 | 1.86 | +0.3pp |
| Asian handicap | England -1.75 | 1.88 | 2.10 | -5.6pp |
| Asian handicap | Croatia +1.75 | 2.01 | 1.81 | +5.5pp |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to now, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | England | Draw | Croatia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 1.25 | 6.22 | 12.49 |
| 24 hours ago | 1.26 | 6.17 | 12.23 |
| 6 hours ago | 1.29 | 5.99 | 10.35 |
| Now | 1.29 | 5.97 | 10.12 |
Other UEFA Nations League matches this round
- Turkey vs Belgium
- Armenia vs Cyprus
- San Marino vs Belarus
- Italy vs France
- Montenegro vs Latvia
- Czech Republic vs Spain
- Albania vs Finland
- Moldova vs Kazakhstan
- Serbia vs Germany
- Andorra vs Gibraltar
- Liechtenstein vs Azerbaijan
- Bulgaria vs Iceland