SteamWatchItaly vs France: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Italy vs France (UEFA Nations League, 12 Nov 2026) was on France in the 1X2 market: drifted from 1.75 at open to 2.06 now, a -8.6 percentage-point change in implied probability, with the largest single step at 07:56 UTC on 12 Nov 2026.
The totals line moved from 3 at open to 2.75 now, so open and current prices are not directly comparable.
The Asian handicap line moved from +0.75 at open to +0.5 now.
Pinnacle prices, open to now
| Market | Selection | Open | Now | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Italy | 4.79 | 3.66 | +6.4pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 3.95 | 3.68 | +1.9pp |
| 1X2 | France | 1.75 | 2.06 | -8.6pp |
| Totals | Over 2.75 | — | 1.86 | — |
| Totals | Under 2.75 | — | 2.03 | — |
| Asian handicap | Italy +0.5 | — | 1.85 | — |
| Asian handicap | France -0.5 | — | 2.06 | — |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to now, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | Italy | Draw | France |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 4.79 | 3.95 | 1.75 |
| 24 hours ago | 4.10 | 3.84 | 1.89 |
| 6 hours ago | 4.10 | 3.77 | 1.91 |
| Now | 3.66 | 3.68 | 2.06 |
Other UEFA Nations League matches this round
- Turkey vs Belgium
- Armenia vs Cyprus
- San Marino vs Belarus
- England vs Croatia
- Montenegro vs Latvia
- Czech Republic vs Spain
- Albania vs Finland
- Moldova vs Kazakhstan
- Netherlands vs Greece
- Serbia vs Germany
- Andorra vs Gibraltar
- Liechtenstein vs Azerbaijan