SteamWatchVillarreal vs Espanyol: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Villarreal vs Espanyol (La Liga, 30 Oct 2026) was on Villarreal in the 1X2 market: shortened from 1.53 at open to 1.38 at the close, a +7.1 percentage-point change in implied probability, with the largest single step at 06:34 UTC on 25 Oct 2026.
The totals line moved from 3 at open to 3.25 at the close, so open and current prices are not directly comparable.
The Asian handicap line moved from -1 at open to -1.5 at the close.
Result
Full time: Villarreal 0-1 Espanyol. Villarreal closed as the 1.38 favourite with Pinnacle. Espanyol won at a closing price of 7.92. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was Villarreal, which shortened from 1.53 to 1.38 and did not win.
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Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Villarreal | 1.53 | 1.38 | +7.1pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 4.29 | 5.50 | -5.1pp |
| 1X2 | Espanyol | 5.47 | 7.92 | -5.7pp |
| Totals | Over 3.25 | — | 1.93 | — |
| Totals | Under 3.25 | — | 1.98 | — |
| Asian handicap | Villarreal -1.5 | — | 2.02 | — |
| Asian handicap | Espanyol +1.5 | — | 1.90 | — |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | Villarreal | Draw | Espanyol |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 1.53 | 4.29 | 5.47 |
| 48 hours before | 1.42 | 5.20 | 7.10 |
| 24 hours before | 1.41 | 5.25 | 7.23 |
| 6 hours before | 1.41 | 5.33 | 7.38 |
| 1 hour before | 1.40 | 5.40 | 7.63 |
| Close | 1.38 | 5.50 | 7.92 |
In the final two hours before kickoff Villarreal shortened from 1.40 to 1.38, a +1.0 percentage-point change in implied probability.
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