SteamWatchElche CF vs Valencia: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Elche CF vs Valencia (La Liga, 1 Nov 2026) was on Valencia in the 1X2 market: drifted from 2.81 at open to 3.49 at the close, a -6.9 percentage-point change in implied probability, with the largest single step at 17:08 UTC on 26 Oct 2026.
The Asian handicap line moved from +0 at open to -0.25 at the close.
Result
Full time: Elche CF 0-1 Valencia. Elche CF closed as the 2.26 favourite with Pinnacle. Valencia won at a closing price of 3.49. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was Valencia, which drifted from 2.81 to 3.49 and won.
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Elche CF have scored 3.9 goals more than their expected goals over the last 12 months (38 league matches). Valencia have scored 6.9 goals fewer than their expected goals over the last 12 months (38 league matches). See Goals Coming Soon.
Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Elche CF | 2.48 | 2.26 | +3.9pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 3.33 | 3.38 | -0.4pp |
| 1X2 | Valencia | 2.81 | 3.49 | -6.9pp |
| Totals | Over 2.5 | 1.95 | 1.86 | +2.5pp |
| Totals | Under 2.5 | 1.85 | 2.05 | -5.3pp |
| Asian handicap | Elche CF -0.25 | — | 1.93 | — |
| Asian handicap | Valencia +0.25 | — | 1.98 | — |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | Elche CF | Draw | Valencia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 2.48 | 3.33 | 2.81 |
| 48 hours before | 2.33 | 3.42 | 3.20 |
| 24 hours before | 2.35 | 3.48 | 3.12 |
| 6 hours before | 2.41 | 3.33 | 3.23 |
| 1 hour before | 2.39 | 3.32 | 3.26 |
| Close | 2.26 | 3.38 | 3.49 |
In the final two hours before kickoff Elche CF shortened from 2.39 to 2.26, a +2.4 percentage-point change in implied probability.
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