SteamWatchReal Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano (La Liga, 8 Nov 2026) was on Under 2.75 in the Totals market: drifted from 1.95 at open to 2.13 at the close, a -4.3 percentage-point change in implied probability.
Result
Full time: Real Sociedad 1-0 Rayo Vallecano. Real Sociedad closed as the 1.88 favourite with Pinnacle and won. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was the draw, which drifted from 3.80 to 4.03 and did not come in.
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Real Sociedad have scored 14.4 goals more than their expected goals over the last 12 months (38 league matches). Rayo Vallecano have scored 8.4 goals fewer than their expected goals over the last 12 months (37 league matches). See Goals Coming Soon.
Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Real Sociedad | 1.84 | 1.88 | -1.2pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 3.80 | 4.03 | -1.5pp |
| 1X2 | Rayo Vallecano | 3.89 | 4.06 | -1.1pp |
| Totals | Over 2.75 | 1.85 | 1.81 | +1.2pp |
| Totals | Under 2.75 | 1.95 | 2.13 | -4.3pp |
| Asian handicap | Real Sociedad -0.5 | 1.85 | 1.88 | -0.9pp |
| Asian handicap | Rayo Vallecano +0.5 | 1.98 | 2.04 | -1.5pp |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | Real Sociedad | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 1.84 | 3.80 | 3.89 |
| 48 hours before | 1.72 | 4.25 | 4.60 |
| 24 hours before | 1.75 | 4.19 | 4.45 |
| 6 hours before | 1.81 | 4.10 | 4.37 |
| 1 hour before | 1.76 | 4.09 | 4.65 |
| Close | 1.88 | 4.03 | 4.06 |
In the final two hours before kickoff Real Sociedad drifted from 1.80 to 1.88, a -2.4 percentage-point change in implied probability.
Other La Liga matches this round
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- Elche CF vs Real Betis
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