SteamWatchValencia vs Real Madrid: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Valencia vs Real Madrid (La Liga, 7 Nov 2026) was on Real Madrid in the 1X2 market: shortened from 1.38 at open to 1.24 at the close, a +8.2 percentage-point change in implied probability, with the largest single step at 16:00 UTC on 1 Nov 2026.
The Asian handicap line moved from +1.5 at open to +1.75 at the close.
Result
Full time: Valencia 0-3 Real Madrid. Real Madrid closed as the 1.24 favourite with Pinnacle and won. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was Real Madrid, which shortened from 1.38 to 1.24 and won.
Steam alerts
No SteamWatch steam alert was sent for this match.
Valencia have scored 6.9 goals fewer than their expected goals over the last 12 months (38 league matches). Real Madrid have scored 7.3 goals more than their expected goals over the last 12 months (38 league matches). See Goals Coming Soon.
Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Valencia | 6.53 | 13.00 | -7.6pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 5.16 | 7.00 | -5.1pp |
| 1X2 | Real Madrid | 1.38 | 1.24 | +8.2pp |
| Totals | Over 3.25 | 1.83 | 1.90 | -2.0pp |
| Totals | Under 3.25 | 1.98 | 1.98 | +0.0pp |
| Asian handicap | Valencia +1.75 | — | 1.97 | — |
| Asian handicap | Real Madrid -1.75 | — | 1.93 | — |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | Valencia | Draw | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 6.53 | 5.16 | 1.38 |
| 48 hours before | 9.06 | 6.65 | 1.29 |
| 24 hours before | 11.06 | 6.68 | 1.25 |
| 6 hours before | 11.65 | 6.44 | 1.26 |
| 1 hour before | 12.01 | 6.62 | 1.25 |
| Close | 13.00 | 7.00 | 1.24 |
No 1X2 price moved by more than 1 percentage point in the final two hours before kickoff.
Other La Liga matches this round
- Sevilla vs Alavés
- Málaga vs Real Racing Club de Santander
- Espanyol vs Deportivo La Coruña
- CA Osasuna vs Athletic Bilbao
- Elche CF vs Real Betis
- Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano
- Celta Vigo vs Levante
- Villarreal vs Getafe
- Atlético Madrid vs Barcelona