SteamWatchAtlético Madrid vs Barcelona: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Atlético Madrid vs Barcelona (La Liga, 8 Nov 2026) was on Draw in the 1X2 market: drifted from 4.03 at open to 4.45 at the close, a -2.3 percentage-point change in implied probability, with the largest single step at 22:28 UTC on 25 Oct 2026.
The totals line moved from 3.25 at open to 3.5 at the close, so open and current prices are not directly comparable.
Result
Full time: Atlético Madrid 1-2 Barcelona. Barcelona closed as the 1.93 favourite with Pinnacle and won. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was the draw, which drifted from 4.03 to 4.45 and did not come in.
Steam alerts
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Atlético Madrid have scored 6.8 goals more than their expected goals over the last 12 months (38 league matches). Barcelona have scored 19.0 goals more than their expected goals over the last 12 months (38 league matches). See Goals Coming Soon.
Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Atlético Madrid | 3.50 | 3.54 | -0.3pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 4.03 | 4.45 | -2.3pp |
| 1X2 | Barcelona | 1.88 | 1.93 | -1.4pp |
| Totals | Over 3.5 | — | 1.88 | — |
| Totals | Under 3.5 | — | 2.02 | — |
| Asian handicap | Atlético Madrid +0.5 | 1.93 | 1.99 | -1.6pp |
| Asian handicap | Barcelona -0.5 | 1.89 | 1.93 | -1.1pp |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | Atlético Madrid | Draw | Barcelona |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 3.50 | 4.03 | 1.88 |
| 48 hours before | 3.99 | 4.41 | 1.80 |
| 24 hours before | 3.99 | 4.44 | 1.79 |
| 6 hours before | 3.28 | 4.43 | 2.02 |
| 1 hour before | 3.69 | 4.55 | 1.87 |
| Close | 3.54 | 4.45 | 1.93 |
In the final two hours before kickoff Barcelona drifted from 1.88 to 1.93, a -1.4 percentage-point change in implied probability.
Other La Liga matches this round
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- Elche CF vs Real Betis
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- Celta Vigo vs Levante
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