SteamWatchLincoln City vs Burnley: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Lincoln City vs Burnley (EFL Championship, 24 Oct 2026) was on Burnley in the 1X2 market: drifted from 2.21 at open to 2.51 at the close, a -5.4 percentage-point change in implied probability, with the largest single step at 16:15 UTC on 17 Oct 2026.
The Asian handicap line moved from +0.25 at open to +0 at the close.
Result
Full time: Lincoln City 4-1 Burnley. Burnley closed as the 2.51 favourite with Pinnacle. Lincoln City won at a closing price of 2.83. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was Burnley, which drifted from 2.21 to 2.51 and did not win.
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Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lincoln City | 3.07 | 2.83 | +2.8pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 3.53 | 3.54 | -0.1pp |
| 1X2 | Burnley | 2.21 | 2.51 | -5.4pp |
| Totals | Over 2.5 | 1.87 | 1.93 | -1.7pp |
| Totals | Under 2.5 | 1.93 | 1.95 | -0.5pp |
| Asian handicap | Lincoln City +0 | — | 2.08 | — |
| Asian handicap | Burnley -0 | — | 1.84 | — |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | Lincoln City | Draw | Burnley |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 3.07 | 3.53 | 2.21 |
| 48 hours before | 2.85 | 3.57 | 2.39 |
| 24 hours before | 2.82 | 3.57 | 2.41 |
| 6 hours before | 2.75 | 3.59 | 2.56 |
| 1 hour before | 2.73 | 3.62 | 2.56 |
| Close | 2.83 | 3.54 | 2.51 |
In the final two hours before kickoff Lincoln City drifted from 2.73 to 2.83, a -1.3 percentage-point change in implied probability.
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