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EFL Championship · kickoff 14:02 UTC on 24 Oct 2026

Cardiff City vs Birmingham City: odds movement

The biggest pre-kickoff move for Cardiff City vs Birmingham City (EFL Championship, 24 Oct 2026) was on Cardiff City in the 1X2 market: drifted from 2.31 at open to 2.62 at the close, a -5.1 percentage-point change in implied probability, with the largest single step at 12:02 UTC on 24 Oct 2026.

The Asian handicap line moved from -0.25 at open to +0 at the close.

Result

Full time: Cardiff City 1-0 Birmingham City. Birmingham City closed as the 2.53 favourite with Pinnacle. Cardiff City won at a closing price of 2.62. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was Cardiff City, which drifted from 2.31 to 2.62 and won.

Steam alerts

SteamWatch sent a steam alert on Cardiff City at 2.46, 85 minutes before kickoff, after a 4.5 percentage-point rise in implied probability. Cardiff City won.

Pinnacle prices, open to close

MarketSelectionOpenCloseImplied change
1X2Cardiff City2.312.62-5.1pp
1X2Draw3.653.88-1.6pp
1X2Birmingham City2.832.53+4.2pp
TotalsOver 31.881.90-0.6pp
TotalsUnder 31.931.98-1.3pp
Asian handicapCardiff City +0—1.98—
Asian handicapBirmingham City -0—1.93—

685 pre-kickoff 1X2 snapshots · first 14:37 UTC on 17 Oct 2026 · last 14:00 UTC on 24 Oct 2026

Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.

1X2 price timeline

WhenCardiff CityDrawBirmingham City
Open2.313.652.83
48 hours before2.643.732.48
24 hours before2.783.772.35
6 hours before2.783.942.39
1 hour before2.543.932.59
Close2.623.882.53

In the final two hours before kickoff Birmingham City drifted from 2.40 to 2.53, a -2.1 percentage-point change in implied probability.

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