SteamWatchWest Ham United vs Southampton: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for West Ham United vs Southampton (EFL Championship, 24 Oct 2026) was on West Ham United -0.75 in the Asian handicap market: drifted from 1.81 at open to 1.95 at the close, a -4.0 percentage-point change in implied probability.
The totals line moved from 3.25 at open to 3 at the close, so open and current prices are not directly comparable.
Result
Full time: West Ham United 2-3 Southampton. West Ham United closed as the 1.74 favourite with Pinnacle. Southampton won at a closing price of 4.45. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was West Ham United, which drifted from 1.64 to 1.74 and did not win.
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Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | West Ham United | 1.64 | 1.74 | -3.5pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 4.32 | 4.23 | +0.5pp |
| 1X2 | Southampton | 4.43 | 4.45 | -0.1pp |
| Totals | Over 3 | — | 1.85 | — |
| Totals | Under 3 | — | 2.05 | — |
| Asian handicap | West Ham United -0.75 | 1.81 | 1.95 | -4.0pp |
| Asian handicap | Southampton +0.75 | 2.02 | 1.95 | +1.8pp |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | West Ham United | Draw | Southampton |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 1.64 | 4.32 | 4.43 |
| 48 hours before | 1.67 | 4.32 | 4.45 |
| 24 hours before | 1.68 | 4.26 | 4.41 |
| 6 hours before | 1.68 | 4.45 | 4.61 |
| 1 hour before | 1.68 | 4.41 | 4.61 |
| Close | 1.74 | 4.23 | 4.45 |
In the final two hours before kickoff West Ham United drifted from 1.69 to 1.74, a -1.7 percentage-point change in implied probability.
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