SteamWatchLincoln Red Imps FC vs Hajduk Split: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Hajduk Split (Conference League, 5 Nov 2026) was on Hajduk Split in the 1X2 market: shortened from 1.34 at open to 1.28 at the close, a +3.5 percentage-point change in implied probability, with the largest single step at 16:52 UTC on 31 Oct 2026.
The totals line moved from 2.75 at open to 3 at the close, so open and current prices are not directly comparable.
The Asian handicap line moved from +1.25 at open to +1.5 at the close.
Result
Full time: Lincoln Red Imps FC 1-0 Hajduk Split. Hajduk Split closed as the 1.28 favourite with Pinnacle. Lincoln Red Imps FC won at a closing price of 11.38. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was Hajduk Split, which shortened from 1.34 to 1.28 and did not win.
Steam alerts
SteamWatch sent a steam alert on Hajduk Split at 1.28, 33 minutes before kickoff, after a 5.1 percentage-point rise in implied probability. Hajduk Split did not win.
Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lincoln Red Imps FC | 9.60 | 11.38 | -1.6pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 5.10 | 5.85 | -2.5pp |
| 1X2 | Hajduk Split | 1.34 | 1.28 | +3.5pp |
| Totals | Over 3 | — | 2.00 | — |
| Totals | Under 3 | — | 1.88 | — |
| Asian handicap | Lincoln Red Imps FC +1.5 | — | 2.04 | — |
| Asian handicap | Hajduk Split -1.5 | — | 1.85 | — |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | Lincoln Red Imps FC | Draw | Hajduk Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 9.60 | 5.10 | 1.34 |
| 48 hours before | 7.78 | 4.84 | 1.38 |
| 24 hours before | 8.03 | 4.94 | 1.36 |
| 6 hours before | 8.96 | 5.09 | 1.36 |
| 1 hour before | 10.48 | 5.65 | 1.30 |
| Close | 11.38 | 5.85 | 1.28 |
In the final two hours before kickoff Hajduk Split shortened from 1.31 to 1.28, a +1.8 percentage-point change in implied probability.
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