SteamWatchAGF Aarhus vs SC Braga: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for AGF Aarhus vs SC Braga (Conference League, 5 Nov 2026) was on SC Braga in the 1X2 market: shortened from 2.07 at open to 1.77 at the close, a +8.2 percentage-point change in implied probability, with the largest single step at 16:47 UTC on 5 Nov 2026.
The totals line moved from 2.5 at open to 2.75 at the close, so open and current prices are not directly comparable.
The Asian handicap line moved from +0.5 at open to +0.75 at the close.
Result
Full time: AGF Aarhus 0-0 SC Braga. SC Braga closed as the 1.77 favourite with Pinnacle. The match finished level, with the draw closing at 3.79. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was SC Braga, which shortened from 2.07 to 1.77 and did not win.
Steam alerts
SteamWatch sent a steam alert on SC Braga at 1.76, 57 minutes before kickoff, after a 6.1 percentage-point rise in implied probability. SC Braga did not win.
Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AGF Aarhus | 3.77 | 4.77 | -5.6pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 3.28 | 3.79 | -4.1pp |
| 1X2 | SC Braga | 2.07 | 1.77 | +8.2pp |
| Totals | Over 2.75 | — | 2.01 | — |
| Totals | Under 2.75 | — | 1.86 | — |
| Asian handicap | AGF Aarhus +0.75 | — | 1.88 | — |
| Asian handicap | SC Braga -0.75 | — | 2.00 | — |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | AGF Aarhus | Draw | SC Braga |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 3.77 | 3.28 | 2.07 |
| 48 hours before | 3.91 | 3.38 | 1.99 |
| 24 hours before | 3.94 | 3.39 | 1.98 |
| 6 hours before | 4.31 | 3.60 | 1.89 |
| 1 hour before | 4.46 | 3.66 | 1.85 |
| Close | 4.77 | 3.79 | 1.77 |
In the final two hours before kickoff SC Braga shortened from 1.87 to 1.77, a +3.0 percentage-point change in implied probability.
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