SteamWatchPanathinaikos FC vs PFC CSKA Sofia: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Panathinaikos FC vs PFC CSKA Sofia (Conference League, 5 Nov 2026) was on Panathinaikos FC in the 1X2 market: shortened from 1.44 at open to 1.27 at the close, a +9.3 percentage-point change in implied probability, with the largest single step at 19:53 UTC on 5 Nov 2026.
The totals line moved from 2.75 at open to 3.25 at the close, so open and current prices are not directly comparable.
The Asian handicap line moved from -1.25 at open to -1.75 at the close.
Result
Full time: Panathinaikos FC 2-1 PFC CSKA Sofia. Panathinaikos FC closed as the 1.27 favourite with Pinnacle and won. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was Panathinaikos FC, which shortened from 1.44 to 1.27 and won.
Steam alerts
SteamWatch sent a steam alert on Panathinaikos FC at 1.33, 6 hours 42 minutes before kickoff, after a 6.2 percentage-point rise in implied probability. Panathinaikos FC won.
Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Panathinaikos FC | 1.44 | 1.27 | +9.3pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 4.46 | 6.23 | -6.4pp |
| 1X2 | PFC CSKA Sofia | 6.59 | 10.56 | -5.7pp |
| Totals | Over 3.25 | — | 2.06 | — |
| Totals | Under 3.25 | — | 1.83 | — |
| Asian handicap | Panathinaikos FC -1.75 | — | 2.01 | — |
| Asian handicap | PFC CSKA Sofia +1.75 | — | 1.88 | — |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | Panathinaikos FC | Draw | PFC CSKA Sofia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 1.44 | 4.46 | 6.59 |
| 48 hours before | 1.48 | 4.51 | 6.22 |
| 24 hours before | 1.45 | 4.65 | 6.38 |
| 6 hours before | 1.34 | 5.60 | 8.51 |
| 1 hour before | 1.32 | 5.72 | 8.98 |
| Close | 1.27 | 6.23 | 10.56 |
In the final two hours before kickoff Panathinaikos FC shortened from 1.34 to 1.27, a +4.1 percentage-point change in implied probability.
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