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Conference League · kickoff 17:45 UTC on 5 Nov 2026

FC Midtjylland vs Ajax: odds movement

The biggest pre-kickoff move for FC Midtjylland vs Ajax (Conference League, 5 Nov 2026) was on Under 3.25 in the Totals market: drifted from 1.81 at open to 1.96 at the close, a -4.2 percentage-point change in implied probability.

Result

Full time: FC Midtjylland 1-6 Ajax. Ajax closed as the 2.16 favourite with Pinnacle and won. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was Ajax, which drifted from 2.04 to 2.16 and won.

Steam alerts

SteamWatch sent a steam alert on Ajax at 2.23, 7 hours 1 minutes before kickoff, after a 4.2 percentage-point rise in implied probability. Ajax won.

Pinnacle prices, open to close

MarketSelectionOpenCloseImplied change
1X2FC Midtjylland3.153.03+1.3pp
1X2Draw4.004.09-0.6pp
1X2Ajax2.042.16-2.7pp
TotalsOver 3.252.021.91+2.9pp
TotalsUnder 3.251.811.96-4.2pp
Asian handicapFC Midtjylland +0.251.941.97-0.8pp
Asian handicapAjax -0.251.891.92-0.8pp

679 pre-kickoff 1X2 snapshots · first 12:42 UTC on 29 Oct 2026 · last 17:41 UTC on 5 Nov 2026

Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.

1X2 price timeline

WhenFC MidtjyllandDrawAjax
Open3.154.002.04
48 hours before2.703.812.39
24 hours before2.593.842.46
6 hours before2.944.082.22
1 hour before3.144.082.11
Close3.034.092.16

No 1X2 price moved by more than 1 percentage point in the final two hours before kickoff.

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