SteamWatchFC Lugano vs FK Kauno Žalgiris: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for FC Lugano vs FK Kauno Žalgiris (Conference League, 5 Nov 2026) was on FK Kauno Žalgiris in the 1X2 market: drifted from 9.36 at open to 17.51 at the close, a -5.0 percentage-point change in implied probability, with the largest single step at 14:18 UTC on 29 Oct 2026.
The totals line moved from 3.5 at open to 3.25 at the close, so open and current prices are not directly comparable.
The Asian handicap line moved from -1.75 at open to -2 at the close.
Result
Full time: FC Lugano 3-0 FK Kauno Žalgiris. FC Lugano closed as the 1.16 favourite with Pinnacle and won. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was FK Kauno Žalgiris, which drifted from 9.36 to 17.51 and did not win.
Steam alerts
No SteamWatch steam alert was sent for this match.
Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Lugano | 1.23 | 1.16 | +4.9pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 6.25 | 8.18 | -3.8pp |
| 1X2 | FK Kauno Žalgiris | 9.36 | 17.51 | -5.0pp |
| Totals | Over 3.25 | — | 1.96 | — |
| Totals | Under 3.25 | — | 1.91 | — |
| Asian handicap | FC Lugano -2 | — | 1.92 | — |
| Asian handicap | FK Kauno Žalgiris +2 | — | 1.97 | — |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | FC Lugano | Draw | FK Kauno Žalgiris |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 1.23 | 6.25 | 9.36 |
| 48 hours before | 1.18 | 7.38 | 12.24 |
| 24 hours before | 1.17 | 7.57 | 12.98 |
| 6 hours before | 1.14 | 9.28 | 18.21 |
| 1 hour before | 1.14 | 9.45 | 19.56 |
| Close | 1.16 | 8.18 | 17.51 |
In the final two hours before kickoff FC Lugano drifted from 1.14 to 1.16, a -1.5 percentage-point change in implied probability.
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