SteamWatchNewcastle United vs Arsenal: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Newcastle United vs Arsenal (English Premier League, 21 Nov 2026) was on Over 2.75 in the Totals market: drifted from 1.81 at open to 1.91 now, a -2.9 percentage-point change in implied probability.
The Asian handicap line moved from +0.75 at open to +1 now.
Newcastle United have scored 3.3 goals fewer than their expected goals over the last 12 months (37 league matches). See Goals Coming Soon.
Pinnacle prices, open to now
| Market | Selection | Open | Now | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Newcastle United | 4.88 | 5.61 | -2.7pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 4.09 | 4.26 | -1.0pp |
| 1X2 | Arsenal | 1.62 | 1.60 | +0.8pp |
| Totals | Over 2.75 | 1.81 | 1.91 | -2.9pp |
| Totals | Under 2.75 | 2.00 | 1.96 | +1.0pp |
| Asian handicap | Newcastle United +1 | — | 1.88 | — |
| Asian handicap | Arsenal -1 | — | 2.01 | — |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to now, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | Newcastle United | Draw | Arsenal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 4.88 | 4.09 | 1.62 |
| 7 days ago | 5.48 | 4.20 | 1.58 |
| 3 days ago | 5.64 | 4.28 | 1.59 |
| 24 hours ago | 5.61 | 4.26 | 1.60 |
| 6 hours ago | 5.61 | 4.26 | 1.60 |
| Now | 5.61 | 4.26 | 1.60 |
Other English Premier League matches this round
- Manchester City vs Fulham
- Coventry City vs Crystal Palace
- Tottenham Hotspur vs Ipswich Town
- Aston Villa vs Sunderland
- Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest
- Chelsea vs Leeds United
- Hull City vs Brighton and Hove Albion
- Liverpool vs Manchester United
- Brentford vs Everton