SteamWatchChelsea vs Leeds United: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Chelsea vs Leeds United (English Premier League, 21 Nov 2026) was on Chelsea in the 1X2 market: drifted from 1.84 at open to 1.90 now, a -1.7 percentage-point change in implied probability, with the largest single step at 11:46 UTC on 9 Nov 2026.
The Asian handicap line moved from -0.75 at open to -0.5 now.
Chelsea have scored 6.5 goals fewer than their expected goals over the last 12 months (37 league matches). Leeds United have scored 10.8 goals fewer than their expected goals over the last 12 months (37 league matches). See Goals Coming Soon.
Pinnacle prices, open to now
| Market | Selection | Open | Now | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Chelsea | 1.84 | 1.90 | -1.7pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 3.73 | 3.79 | -0.4pp |
| 1X2 | Leeds United | 4.00 | 4.03 | -0.2pp |
| Totals | Over 2.75 | 1.94 | 1.99 | -1.3pp |
| Totals | Under 2.75 | 1.86 | 1.88 | -0.6pp |
| Asian handicap | Chelsea -0.5 | — | 1.91 | — |
| Asian handicap | Leeds United +0.5 | — | 1.98 | — |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to now, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | Chelsea | Draw | Leeds United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 1.84 | 3.73 | 4.00 |
| 7 days ago | 1.81 | 3.83 | 4.20 |
| 3 days ago | 1.89 | 3.80 | 4.06 |
| 24 hours ago | 1.90 | 3.79 | 4.03 |
| 6 hours ago | 1.90 | 3.79 | 4.03 |
| Now | 1.90 | 3.79 | 4.03 |
Other English Premier League matches this round
- Manchester City vs Fulham
- Coventry City vs Crystal Palace
- Tottenham Hotspur vs Ipswich Town
- Aston Villa vs Sunderland
- Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest
- Newcastle United vs Arsenal
- Hull City vs Brighton and Hove Albion
- Liverpool vs Manchester United
- Brentford vs Everton