SteamWatchAS Monaco vs SC Freiburg: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for AS Monaco vs SC Freiburg (Conference League, 22 Oct 2026) was on Draw in the 1X2 market: drifted from 3.15 at open to 3.69 at the close, a -4.6 percentage-point change in implied probability, with the largest single step at 13:35 UTC on 18 Oct 2026.
How the market closed
AS Monaco closed as the 2.26 favourite with Pinnacle. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was the draw, which drifted from 3.15 to 3.69.
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Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AS Monaco | 2.22 | 2.26 | -0.8pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 3.15 | 3.69 | -4.6pp |
| 1X2 | SC Freiburg | 3.00 | 3.06 | -0.7pp |
| Totals | Over 2.75 | 1.94 | 1.86 | +2.2pp |
| Totals | Under 2.75 | 1.88 | 2.01 | -3.4pp |
| Asian handicap | AS Monaco -0.25 | 1.97 | 1.98 | -0.3pp |
| Asian handicap | SC Freiburg +0.25 | 1.86 | 1.91 | -1.4pp |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | AS Monaco | Draw | SC Freiburg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 2.22 | 3.15 | 3.00 |
| 48 hours before | 2.25 | 3.58 | 3.01 |
| 24 hours before | 2.27 | 3.52 | 3.03 |
| 6 hours before | 2.14 | 3.62 | 3.39 |
| 1 hour before | 2.16 | 3.69 | 3.29 |
| Close | 2.26 | 3.69 | 3.06 |
In the final two hours before kickoff SC Freiburg shortened from 3.27 to 3.06, a +2.1 percentage-point change in implied probability.
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