SteamWatchAjax vs Atalanta BC: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Ajax vs Atalanta BC (Conference League, 22 Oct 2026) was on Ajax in the 1X2 market: shortened from 2.48 at open to 2.02 at the close, a +9.2 percentage-point change in implied probability, with the largest single step at 17:19 UTC on 18 Oct 2026.
The totals line moved from 2.75 at open to 3.25 at the close, so open and current prices are not directly comparable.
The Asian handicap line moved from +0 at open to -0.5 at the close.
Result
Full time: Ajax 2-0 Atalanta BC. Ajax closed as the 2.02 favourite with Pinnacle and won. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was Ajax, which shortened from 2.48 to 2.02 and won.
Steam alerts
SteamWatch sent a steam alert on Ajax at 2.00, 9 hours 57 minutes before kickoff, after a 4.5 percentage-point rise in implied probability. Ajax won.
Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ajax | 2.48 | 2.02 | +9.2pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 3.55 | 4.08 | -3.7pp |
| 1X2 | Atalanta BC | 2.64 | 3.33 | -7.8pp |
| Totals | Over 3.25 | — | 1.92 | — |
| Totals | Under 3.25 | — | 1.95 | — |
| Asian handicap | Ajax -0.5 | — | 2.03 | — |
| Asian handicap | Atalanta BC +0.5 | — | 1.86 | — |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | Ajax | Draw | Atalanta BC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 2.48 | 3.55 | 2.64 |
| 48 hours before | 2.16 | 3.68 | 3.12 |
| 24 hours before | 2.11 | 3.80 | 3.13 |
| 6 hours before | 2.14 | 3.91 | 3.16 |
| 1 hour before | 2.03 | 4.02 | 3.33 |
| Close | 2.02 | 4.08 | 3.33 |
No 1X2 price moved by more than 1 percentage point in the final two hours before kickoff.
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- AS Monaco vs SC Freiburg
- FC Midtjylland vs Sint Truiden
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